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DBRS Morningstar: European Structured Finance Outlook 2022

LONDON–(Business WIRE)–DBRS Morningstar posted its once-a-year outlook for European structured finance. Searching ahead to 2022, as the pandemic-induced volatility continues to fade, there are a selection of themes we hope the European securitisation sector to encounter:

(1) Change in the direction of sustainable capital markets

  • ESG to continue to be in aim of buyers, regulators, and other current market participants

(2) Geopolitical challenges

  • Brexit — a forgotten tale — is however developing trade tensions for the British isles with its immediate neighbours
  • International trade tensions, migrant crises, trade wars, and supply chain challenges are a handful of of the concerns that can escalate into common marketplace uncertainty

(3) Tightening of monetary policy

  • To control inflation, transitory or persistently transitory inflation — what ever the naming convention — if central lender purchase programmes are tapered, we anticipate the stability of distributed versus retained issuances to suggestion marginally in the direction of the former
  • In 2022, DBRS Morningstar forecasts full European securitisation issuance of EUR 200 billion to EUR 210 billion, out of which we be expecting EUR 110 billion to EUR 115 billion to be marketplace-positioned transactions. These forecasts are continually dependent on the progress of actions to incorporate the virus and countermeasures made use of to preserve inflation under control.

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